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Четверг, 07 Апрель 2016 00:00

VSA, Ричард Вайкофф, Том Вильямс

     VSA - volume spread analysis (анализ по спредам объема) своей основой восходит к работам Ричарда Д. Вайкоффа (Wyckoff), американского пионера технического анализа акций. "Метод Торговли и Инвестирования в Акции" Ричарда Вайкоффа прошел сквозь времена, став классикой.

     Будучи брокером, он видел закулисные игры крупных спекулянтов и понимал, "что есть возможность оценить будущий курс рынка по его собственным действиям; что действия акций отображает планы и цели тех, кто доминирует над ними; что основной закон предложения и спроса управляет всеми изменениями цен; что лучший индикатор будущего курса рынка - отношение спроса к предложению".

     Свою карьеру он начал в 15-летнем возрасте. Было это в 1888 году. К 1911 году стал пробовать себя в качестве аналитика, также делал прогнозы. Они были настолько успешны, что через некоторое время Ричард снискал большую популярность. Как говорили очевидцы, у него было около 200 000 подписчиков. Через почти 20 лет он написал свою книгу, которая также снискала большую популярность и была переиздана много раз. Метод Вайкоффа изучают на экономических факультетах многих университетов. Чем же отличался Ричард от остальных? А тем, что не соглашался с теми рыночными аналитиками, которые придерживались мнения, что наиболее продуктивно торговать на графических формациях. При этом желательно определять сигналы покупки и продажи. Он не раз говорил, что техники математического и механического анализа более действенны, чем если вы будете хорошо тренироваться и оценивать ситуацию на бирже.

 

     Том Вильямс, который был также известен на фондовых площадках, на протяжении 15 лет дорабатывал теорию Вайкоффа. При этом он несколько разнообразил ее, дополнив новым элементом ценового спреда и его взаимосвязи с объемом. Помимо этого был добавлен и элемент цены закрытия. Причиной такой успешной разработки стал анализ рынка форекс, а также уникальная ситуация, которая дала толчок к разработке собственной методологии. Вильямс наблюдал за торговой активностью синдиката, в котором он работал, после чего проводил его анализ, сравнивал ее с ценовым графиком. За счет этого он смог вывести ряд закономерностей. Все это дало толчок к написанию книги «Повелители рынков», которая вышла в 1993 году

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